The Scenario Planning project reports provide the framework for initiating the process of scenario thinking within nonprofit human service agencies. The first, Scanning the Horizon: Trends, Development & Innovations Impacting the Future of Child and Family Services, 2005, offers a comprehensive review of emerging factors likely to alter how nonprofits conduct business in the future. The second, Regional Results: A Briefing Report, 2006, summarizes the five scenario planning meetings held around the country last year, and introduces the 19 scenarios participants developed.
Public sector re-engineering, changing funding streams, privatization, technological advancements, and neuroscience developments have the potential to dramatically alter the way nonprofit providers do business in the future. But human service agencies have yet to systematically contemplate the impact these emerging trends will have on how they plan, organize and deliver their services in the future. The Scenario Planning Project focuses on the application of one tool commonly used in the private sector to address change -scenario planning- as a methodology for human service nonprofits to identify, understand and manage the changes facing their field.
Trends, factors, drivers and uncertainties:
- Technology
- An aging population
- Cultural and class fragmentation
- Economic gaps
- Neuroscience and genetic advancements
- Societal values
- Role of religion
- Finite resources
- Distribution of wealth available to nonprofits
- Changing family structure
- Fear of violence and terrorism
- Political polarization
- Failure of pubic education
- Credibility and survivability of nonprofits
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Contact Us
